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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 11, 2016 16:51:48 GMT -6
A new season. If you have a pick, post it!
Opening Night 11/11 YO
Arkansas-Fort Wayne OVER 155. W
Tennessee-Chattanooga UNDER 149. L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 13, 2016 9:30:43 GMT -6
1-1
11/13
Sacramento State +17 @ Nebraska L
Nebraska Omaha +13.5 @ USC W
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Post by Deleted on Nov 13, 2016 10:56:11 GMT -6
Thanks for sharing, Coast.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 14, 2016 19:54:54 GMT -6
2-2
11/14
SIU Edwardsville-Texas State (@ Hawaii) Under 135 L
Princeton BYU under 160.5 W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 15, 2016 8:45:39 GMT -6
3-3
Duke -2, -120 vs. Kansas L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 19, 2016 9:05:41 GMT -6
3-4
Saturday, 11-19
Rice-Nebraska Omaha over 167. W
Pacific-UC Irvine under 142.5. W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 20, 2016 21:25:48 GMT -6
5-4
Monday, 11-21
Central Michigan - Pepperdine over 153 W
Tenn Martin-Canisius over 151.5 L
Rice-Montana State over 161.5 L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 21, 2016 15:43:30 GMT -6
Another tourney game for Monday:
Creighton-Mississippi over 167 L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 25, 2016 11:29:40 GMT -6
6-7
Nov 25
Minnesota SIU over 153.5 L
Elon Northern Ill over 145 W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 29, 2016 15:49:41 GMT -6
7-8
Nov. 29
Creighton -19.5 vs. Buffalo W
Davidson-Mercer under 139.5 W
Notes: Somebody hit the Davidson-Mercer over and moved the line from 134 to 139.5. (Probably RAS, though that's not yet confirmed.). I do my #s independently of any touts and evaluate on the current numbers, not on line moves. For me, it was a borderline under at 134 but a play 5.5 points higher.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 29, 2016 19:26:57 GMT -6
9-8
Nov.30
E Michigan-Detroit over 155. L
SMU Boise under 140.5. W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 30, 2016 16:00:04 GMT -6
11/30 adds
Purdue Louisville under 140. W
Line was 135 last night and I was tempted, but like yesterday, a 5 point move makes the difference. Looking for an ugly defensive game, like most Ville games this year.
Also playing a ML parlay on Ark State with Ind State that pays about 0.93. W
Ark State is a team to watch this yr. Ind State played NIU in the first game and lost by 2 in OT when refs whistled 16 more fouls on the Sycs than the Huskies. Home cooked refs can go both ways. Not often kids get a chance at in-season revenge with an out of conference opponent.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Nov 30, 2016 23:28:33 GMT -6
November: 12-9
Dec 1
UTSA-Cal Poly under 139.5. W
Utah-Montana State over 145. W
Sac State Pacific under 141.5. W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 1, 2016 21:49:42 GMT -6
15-9
Friday Dec. 2
Indiana - SIU-Edwardsville over 146. L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 2, 2016 23:16:38 GMT -6
15-10
Sat. Dec. 3
Dartmouth Bos College under 138.5. L
Fresno Drake under 134. L
Akron Creighton over 157 L
Auburn UAB over 151.5 L
Nor Ariz San Diego under 135. L
Could be more.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 3, 2016 10:33:18 GMT -6
Add for Saturday
Oregon Savannah St over 162. W
Savannah State? Yep, this team has transformed from one of the slowest to the #1 fastest shooting team, with an average possession of 12 seconds. Against quality fast teams, scores have been 180-200.
VCU Illinois over 139. L
Could be more
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 3, 2016 12:51:54 GMT -6
Buffalo Bonnie over 148. W
3.5 point move makes this a play. Buffalo ran with Creighton the other night and Bonnie plays fast also. Bonnie games also have a lot of fouls called. They are good at drawing fouls (above avg at FTA/FGA) , but commit a lot too (near the bottom in FTA/FGA defense).
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 3, 2016 19:14:49 GMT -6
17-16
Sunday Dec. 4
Canisius Manhattan over 144. W
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Post by Deleted on Dec 4, 2016 13:59:59 GMT -6
17-16 Sunday Dec. 4 Canisius Manhattan over 144 94 points at halftime. |
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 4, 2016 18:46:36 GMT -6
Yeah after the tough beats Saturday, it was nice to have an easy W today.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 4, 2016 18:57:17 GMT -6
18-16
Monday Dec 5
Nebraska Omaha Iowa State over 158.5 L
Siena Rider under 149. W
Iowa Stetson over 171. L
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 5, 2016 22:25:23 GMT -6
19-18
Tues Dec. 6
Bowling Green - Evansville under 135. P
Miami O - Mizzou under 139. W
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 7, 2016 9:24:08 GMT -6
20-18-1
One so far. Had several on the cusp, but being disciplined in getting the right #s. Had a few potential unders move down (X under, West Mich under) so passing those.
Fullerton-San Diego under 138 L
Had this one move up from 135 (I really believe this is a setup to get a better price and will come back down). Still remember the Saturday game with USD that was a solid under until Northern Ariz played an epic 7 minute foul fest that led to 52 points in the last 10 minutes (most on FTs). SD is a solid under team, at least in the 130s against most opponents. They shoot poorly and play slow. Fullerton a bit faster, but they also shoot poorly.
May be others, depending on line moves.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 7, 2016 11:35:05 GMT -6
Wednesday Adds:
Kent St. Niagara under 145.5. L
Another game in which both teams shoot poorly (under 50% in effective fg%, which is a measure of two-point and three point shooting. The national average is 50.1.) Niagara also likes to play at a slowish pace, which hopefully will slow Kent down a bit (though they are just average pace overall and includes some fast opponents).
Eastern Illinois Northern Kentucky under 146.5. L Another "bad teams under" play. Similar profile as the other two today -- poor shooting and neither team particularly fast pace.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 7, 2016 17:00:21 GMT -6
Two more for Wednesday:
Western Michigan Cleveland St under 145. L
This game has bounced around like a yo yo today. Went down, so I passed, then it came back up to the opening price. I make it 135, so it's a play for me at 145. Both teams shoot poorly, WM has a bunch of freshmen that haven't shot well on the road, CSU had finals today...all kinds of reasons to play this yawner...at the right price.
Wisconsin Idaho State over 133. L
This is a bit of a different play today, playing an over with a "slow" team like Wisky, but Wisconsin should own this game from the opening tip tonight. It will be a total blowout. And because of that, I expect Wisky to find shots quicker, get just about what they want and have some happy happy fun time tonight. Idaho State actually shoots above average and while their defense blows, I figure they could get 50 tonight. I'm looking for Wisconsin to hit 90 as two other teams with much lesser-quality offenses have done against the potato heads.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 8, 2016 14:26:04 GMT -6
20-23-1
Nothing like an 0-5 night to make me question everything I'm doing. For years, playing bad teams under was a staple of winning seasons. But with the rules changes and teams playing much faster against comparable opponents (most teams used to play slower in close games), maybe "bad teams over" is now the better angle. Then again, there were two bad picks, two beats on ridiculous shooting and foul fests and one loser on 10 meaningless points in the last minute from benchwarmers. Short-term variance happens.
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 8, 2016 15:16:04 GMT -6
Thursday
Pacific Mass over 145.5
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Post by November KS on Dec 13, 2016 20:45:03 GMT -6
Not college but get that bet in NOW, Coast!!! Memphis is +7.5 -105 still!!
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Post by Coast2Coast on Dec 15, 2016 13:40:36 GMT -6
I haven't been on the board all week so missed this great opportunity. Great call!
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